Winter rains could affect coffee crops

The coffee harvest in the country's main producing regions may face challenges this winter due to the forecast of unseasonable rains. Meteorological consultancy Nottus warns that cold fronts are expected to advance over the Southeast of Brazil, especially in June and July, affecting states such as São Paulo and southern Minas Gerais.

Even with low volumes, these rains coincide with the harvest period and can make work in the fields difficult and compromise the maturation of the beans. “Untimely humidity impacts the yield and quality of the coffee, which requires constant monitoring by producers,” says Paulo Etchichury, CEO of Nottus.

The consultancy highlights that the current climate scenario, with the weakening of La Niña and the neutral Pacific Ocean, favors the arrival of cold fronts. Although rains can contribute to replenishing moisture in the soil, they pose risks to the harvest schedule.

In addition, there is a possibility of occasional episodes of intense cold during the winter. Meteorologist Desirée Brandt, executive partner at Nottus, explains that there are still no indications of severe frosts for coffee crops in 2025, but the advance of polar air masses cannot be ruled out.

The consultancy's recommendation is that coffee growers pay close attention to weather forecasts in the coming weeks to minimize impacts on productivity and grain quality.