Inmet: weather forecast between November 13th and 29th, 2023

In the first week, between the 13th and 20th of November, the highest volumes of rain are predicted in the northwest and south of the country

13.11.2023 | 16:47 (UTC -3)
inmet

The National Institute of Meteorology (Inmet) concluded, this Monday (13), the weather forecast for the next two weeks. In the first, between the 13th and 20th of November, the highest volumes of rain are predicted in the northwest and south of the country (red and pinkish tones - figure 1). 

In areas of the North, Northeast and Southeast Regions, mainly, the forecast is for hot and dry weather to predominate throughout the week (white and blue tones - figure 1).

Check out the detailed weather forecast for each region of the country for the next two weeks below.

Forecast for the 1st week (13/11/2023 to 20/11/2023):

North region: Rains in the form of showers are forecast during the week, with amounts greater than 50 millimeters (mm) in Acre and the west and south of Amazonas. With smaller accumulations in specific areas of Rondônia, Pará and Tocantins due to the heat and high humidity. In other areas, there will be a predominance of dry weather and no rain.

Northeast Region: the forecast is for dry weather without rain, in addition to low relative humidity values, mainly in the north and east of the region (areas in white and blue). However, isolated rain showers cannot be ruled out in Maranhão, Piauí, western Bahia, which includes the areas of Matopiba (Maranhão, Tocantins, Piauí and Bahia), in addition to the coast of Bahia.

Midwest region: In some areas, temporary showers are forecast, mainly in the late afternoon.

Southeast region:  From November 17th, the forecast is for rain in areas of São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and the Minas Gerais triangle.

South region: the passage of a cold front through the South Region may cause significant rainfall, which may be accompanied by lightning, gusts of wind and the occasional occurrence of hail, throughout the week, with greater accumulations that may exceed 150 millimeters (mm), mainly in the center-north of Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina and southern Paraná. 

Figure 1: rain forecast for the 1st week (13/11/2023 and 20/11/2023); source: Inmet
Figure 1: rain forecast for the 1st week (13/11/2023 and 20/11/2023); source: Inmet

In the second week, between November 21st and 29th, 2023, the week may present large amounts of rain, greater than 60 millimeters (mm), when moisture convergence is observed in the northwest-southeast direction. 

In the south of the country, rainfall may occur, which may exceed 50 mm.

Forecast for the 2st week (21/11/2023 to 29/11/2023):

North region: Accumulations greater than 50 mm are expected in western Amazonas, Roraima, Acre, Rondônia and southern Pará. In other areas, low rainfall is expected.

Northeast Region: The forecast is for dry weather and no rain in the region, except in Maranhão and the coast of Bahia with temporary showers.

Midwest and Southeast Regions:  rainfall is expected to exceed 40 mm, especially in Mato Grosso, Goiás, Distrito Federal, Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro and Espírito Santo. In other areas, the possibility of rain showers cannot be ruled out.

South region: the forecast is for rainfall accumulations greater than 50 mm. The rains should be more localized over Rio Grande do Sul and the coast of Paraná.

Figure 2: rain forecast for the 2nd week (21/29 and 11/2023); source: GFS
Figure 2: rain forecast for the 2nd week (21/29 and 11/2023); source: GFS

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