Inmet: weather forecast between March 11th and 27th, 2024
Between the 4th and 18th of March, the week could see large amounts of rain, which could exceed 60,0 mm
11.03.2024 | 16:01 (UTC -3)
inmet
The National Institute of Meteorology (Inmet) today concluded the weather forecast for the next two weeks. In the first, between the 4th and 18th of March, the week could present large amounts of rain, which could exceed 60,0 mm (shades in orange) in the center-north of the country, due to the combination of heat and high humidity, in addition of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ZCIT) that continues to influence instability in the extreme north of the country, causing intense rains.
See below the detailed weather forecast for each region of the country for the next two weeks.
Forecast for the 1st week (11/03/2024 to 18/03/2024):
North region: Rain showers are expected throughout the week, with amounts greater than 50,0 mm in practically the entire region, but mainly in areas of Amazonas, Pará, Amapá, south of Roraima and north of Tocantins, which may be accompanied by lightning, gusts of wind and thunderstorms. In other areas, isolated rain showers with smaller accumulations cannot be ruled out. The forecast does not indicate rain for the north of Roraima.
Northeast Region: in the central-north of the region, rain showers are forecast that could be locally heavy with volumes exceeding 70,0 mm. In other areas, isolated rain showers may occur in smaller accumulations.
Midwest Regions e Southeast: the forecast indicates little rain in most regions, except in areas of Mato Grosso, Goiás and occasionally in Minas Gerais, where there are forecasts of rain showers that could be locally heavy.
South region: The weather will be hot and dry, but from March 15th, the forecast is for rain showers in the extreme south of Rio Grande do Sul.
Figure 1: rain forecast for the 1st week (11/18 to 03/2024); source: Inmet
In the second week, between March 19th and 27th, 2024, the week may present rainfall volumes greater than 70,0 mm in a large part of the country. See figure 2.
Forecast for the 2st week (19/03/2024 to 27/03/2024):
North region: Accumulations greater than 60,0 mm are predicted, but mainly in areas of Amazonas, Pará and Tocantins. In other areas, rainfall volumes of less than 30,0 mm are forecast.
Northeast Region: the forecast is for rain in the form of showers that could exceed 90,0 mm in the central-north of the Region and could be locally strong. In other areas, lower rainfall accumulations are expected.
Midwest Regions e Southeast: Rain showers are forecast, but they could be locally heavy in areas of Mato Grosso, Distrito Federal, Goiás, Minas Gerais, Espírito Santo and Rio de Janeiro. In other areas, the forecast is for less rainfall.
South region: the forecast is for rainfall greater than 50 mm in all states. However, little rain is forecast for the extreme south of Rio Grande do Sul.
Figure 2: rain forecast for the 2nd week (19 to 27/03/2024); source: NCEP/NOAA