The estimate of the Gross Value of Agricultural Production (VBP) for 2022, based on information from January, is R$1,204 trillion, 4,3% higher than last year (R$1,154 trillion). The growth in the value of crops was 10,3% and livestock farming decreased by 8,6%. The contribution of crops to the VBP is 72%, and livestock, 28%.
A broad set of products shows a favorable contribution to the growth of agriculture this year. Production expectations are generally good, and prices are favorable for many products, such as cotton, coffee, peanuts, sugar cane, oranges and corn. Highlights include cotton with real GPV growth of 35,1%, peanuts 14,2%, banana 16,9%, coffee 64,1%, sugar cane 31,6%, orange 7,0%, corn 21,9 .21,4%, and tomatoes, XNUMX%. These results, even exceptional for some products, put this group in great prominence, as responsible for driving growth this year.
Negative contributions, however, have been observed in rice, potatoes, cocoa, soybeans and grapes, which have seen reductions in quantities produced and prices. Some of these, such as rice and soybeans, were directly influenced by droughts in the South.
With less favorable results, livestock farming shows a decline in growth, observed in beef, chicken, pork and eggs. The strongest declines occur in pork and chicken, with prices at a lower level than in 2021.
The regional VBP results show some impacts of the drought in the South, which mainly affected Rio Grande do Sul and Paraná. The most affected crops were soybeans and corn, although there is also an impact on livestock, due to the reduction in food supply. Even irrigated areas suffered the impact, such as rice crops. In Rio Grande do Sul, where irrigated rice predominates, the drop in production was 10,3%. In corn crops, the production reduction was 32,0%, and in soybeans, 33,9%, according to Conab.
In Paraná, crop production also reduced. Soybeans fell due to the difference between 19,8 million tons in 2021 to 13,2 million in 2022, in turn, the VBP of this product fell from R$87,5 billion to 83,7 billion.
Paraná, which occupied second place in the ranking of VBP values by state, gave way to São Paulo, which improved due to good results for sugar cane, coffee and oranges. The worst performance that has been occurring in Paraná is also due to the results of livestock farming, which showed a strong reduction this year, mainly chicken meat.
The VBP shows the evolution of crop and livestock performance throughout the year, corresponding to revenue within the establishment. It is calculated based on agricultural and livestock production and the prices received by producers in the country's main markets for the 26 largest national agricultural products.
The real value of production is obtained, discounted for inflation, by the General Price Index - Internal Availability (IGP-DI), from Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV). The periodicity is monthly with updates and publication until the 15th of each month.
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