The national wheat harvest reached record production in 2021, even with climatic adversities during crop development. And, despite the greater availability of wheat on the domestic market, imports continued to rise in the second half of last year, and this context should continue to be verified in 2022.
According to Cepea researchers, Brazil is still dependent on cereal imports to supply the domestic market, negotiating mainly with Argentina. Furthermore, exports must also be larger in 2022, given the lower global supply and high prices external.
As expectations indicate a high dollar in 2022, imports should continue to be more expensive and domestic prices may remain at high levels.
Evaluating field activities last season, Rio Grande do Sul surpassed the wheat production of Paraná, a state that normally has national leadership. Regarding the next national wheat harvest, the The expectation is that producers will continue to choose to increase the area with cereal, as occurred in the previous season, influenced by high values paid on the market today, even with the highest production cost.
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Decrease in domestic consumption and lower-than-expected exports in 2021 resulted in an increase in domestic surpluses of paddy rice and also put pressure on sales values in Brazil
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