Drought weakens in Brazil, but advances in the South and North.
Area affected decreases to 49% of the country in March, according to the Drought Monitor.
The soybean harvest for the 2025/26 season has reached 98,1% of the monitored area in Mato Grosso do Sul, equivalent to 4,7 million hectares. This is according to the Siga-Ms Project, executed by Aprosoja/MS, with resources from Fundems/Semadesc.
The southern region leads the work with 99,8% of the area harvested. Next are the central region, with 97,0%, and the northern region, with 93,0%.
According to Flavio Aguena, technical advisor at Aprosoja/MS, field surveys show that, despite the water stress recorded in important producing regions, the consolidated harvest results are performing better than initially projected.
“We are entering the final stretch of the soybean harvest in Mato Grosso do Sul, with practically the entire area consolidated. Even with the climatic problems faced throughout January and February, mainly due to drought and high temperatures, field surveys show a better recovery than initially expected, which allowed for a positive revision of productivity,” he highlights.
Based on 713 productivity surveys conducted in the field, representing 19,5% of the cultivated area, Aprosoja/MS revised its crop estimate upwards. The average state productivity increased from 52,82 sacks per hectare to 61,73 sacks per hectare. As a result, the production expectation was adjusted to 17,759 million tons, a volume 26,3% higher than that obtained in the previous harvest.
The total area cultivated with soybeans this season is estimated at 4,794 million hectares, a growth of 5,9% compared to the 2024/2025 cycle.
With the soybean harvest progressing, producers have practically completed the planting of the second corn crop in Mato Grosso do Sul. As of April 24, planting had reached 99,8% of the area monitored by Siga-MS, equivalent to approximately 2,2 million hectares planted.
The southern region has already completed planting, while the central region has reached 99,9% and the northern region 98,3%.
The percentage is only 0,2 percentage points below that observed in the same period of the previous harvest, demonstrating an acceleration of work in recent weeks, after a slower start caused by the delay in the soybean harvest.
“The producer has managed to make very consistent progress with the planting of the second corn crop. Although sowing started at a slower pace due to the delay in soybean harvesting, today we have almost the entire area planted, which demonstrates the field's ability to react,” Flavio assesses.
Preliminary estimates indicate a total area of 2,206 million hectares cultivated with second-crop corn, an expected average yield of 84,2 sacks per hectare, and a production of 11,139 million tons.
With the soybean harvest practically consolidated and the corn planted, monitoring now focuses on weather conditions in the coming weeks and market behavior.
In the economic scenario, the 60-kilogram bag of soybeans was quoted, on average, at R$ 110,38 in Mato Grosso do Sul, registering an increase of 1,09% in the weekly comparison. Meanwhile, a bag of corn was traded at around R$ 51.
Despite a slight recovery in oilseed production, marketing of the crop continues at a slower pace. As of April 27, approximately 46% of the state's production had been traded, a lower rate than that recorded during the same period last year.
“Now the focus turns entirely to the development of these corn crops. Maintaining regular rainfall in the coming weeks will be crucial to sustaining productive potential, especially in areas planted outside the ideal window. Furthermore, producers remain attentive to market behavior because, despite a slight recovery in soybean prices, prices still require caution in marketing and financial planning for the farm,” he concludes.
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