São Paulo grain harvest projection is 9,75 million tons, an increase of 12,72%

The 12th Harvest Survey of the National Supply Company (Conab), with data prepared by the Economic Department of the Agriculture Federation of the State of São Paulo (FAESP), showed the São Paulo 2021/2022 grain harvest at 9,75 million tons, volume 12,7% higher than the previous harvest. However, the initial expectation from Conab's 1st Harvest Survey, in October 2021, was 10,1 million tons, a drop of 4,0%.

The São Paulo harvest of the 2021/22 grain cycle faced the impacts of the La Niña climate phenomenon, which severely reduced rainfall in important producing regions of the State, which had effects on production.

“Despite the drop in the results of this harvest compared to initial expectations, the State of São Paulo records record grain production, the result of the effort and dedication of São Paulo producers, who work hard to guarantee food supply”, highlights the president of FAESP, Fábio de Salles Meirelles.

The positive highlight is corn, which in the consolidated of the two harvests resulted in 4,33 million tons, indicating an increase of 32,4% compared to the previous cycle.

Of this total, 2 million correspond to the first harvest (an increase of 8,4%) and 2,33 million to the second. The summer corn results exceed initial expectations of 1,85 million tons from the first survey, published in October 2021 by Conab.

On the other hand, the results for second-crop corn are lower than the first projection, because second-crop corn crops in the State, in addition to suffering from below-normal and poorly distributed rainfall, also had to deal with low temperatures and a severe attack by leafhoppers. , events that contributed to the reduction in estimated productivity.

Cotton production in the State, although not very voluminous, had excellent results this harvest. The more attractive cotton prices in 2021 contributed to the 80,9% gain in area, estimated at 8,5 thousand hectares.

With this increase, even though there was a 1,83% drop in productivity, production registered a gain of 77,5%, totaling 33,2 thousand tons of seeds.

The crop most affected in this cycle was soybeans. The initial projection for production was 4,44 million tons. But the reduction in rainfall due to La Niña reduced grain productivity by 7,14%, which currently amounts to 3.436 kg/ha compared to 3.700 kg/ha in the previous cycle.

With these results, the 2021/22 soybean harvest was valued at 4,18 million tons, around 2,9% lower than the volume harvested last season.

Brazil

At the end of the 2021/22 harvest, according to a Conab survey, Brazilian grain production is valued at 271,2 million tons, a value that represents an increase of 5,65% compared to the results of the previous harvest, but with a drop of 6 % compared to initial estimates, which predicted production of 288,6 million tons. The drop in results is due to adverse weather conditions in important producing regions, especially in the Southern states.

The area planted with grains in this harvest totals 74,3 million hectares (an increase of 5,97%) and productivity is 3.650 kg/ha (a decrease of 0,33%). Cotton's productivity was affected by water stress, seen in the states of MT and BA, at an important stage for the development of crops. Despite this, compared to 2020/21, the production of 3,7 million tons of seeds in this cycle is 8,2% higher.

The positive highlight this season is the cultivation of corn, especially the second harvest, whose production was 41,8% higher than that of the 2020/21 cycle, totaling 86,1 million tons. The third harvest registered an increase of 33,4%, with a harvested volume of 2,17 million tons.

In the consolidated of the three harvests, corn reached 113,3 million tons (an increase of 30,1%), a result that could have been even better if the first harvest crops in the South region had not been severely affected by the drought. Conab estimates that the drought resulted in a 20,1% drop in first-crop corn productivity in this region. Even so, total summer corn production is 1,02% higher than in the previous cycle and amounts to 24,98 million tons.

Among the negative highlights, soybean production was reduced by 9,92% or 13,83 million tons, this is because the influence of La Niña in the southern states, in SP and MS, with reduced rainfall, resulted in a drop in 14,1% in average crop productivity. For this cycle, a volume of 125,5 million tons of soybeans is estimated.

Overall, despite the impact of the weather, the 2021/22 harvest ends with an increase in production, reflecting the producer's efforts to face adversities and obtain good results in the field. Although winter and third harvest crops are still in the field, Conab highlights that possible weather events will not be able to reduce total grain production to a level lower than that of the last harvest, maintaining the prospect of a record harvest.