Conab projects a record harvest of 358,6 million tons.

Brazil's 2025/26 grain harvest is expected to reach 358,6 million tons, the largest volume ever harvested in the country, according to the ninth survey by the National Supply Company (CONAB). The estimate indicates a 1,8 percent increase over the previous cycle, equivalent to 6,4 million tons. The result reflects an increase in planted area and favorable weather conditions during the cycle.

The cultivated area totals 83,5 million hectares. This number exceeds the area of ​​the previous harvest by 2,2 percent. The increase corresponds to 1,8 million hectares. Soybeans lead the expansion, with a growth of 2,6 percent, or 1,2 million hectares. Corn gained 3,4 percent, equivalent to 744 hectares. Sorghum advanced 31,7 percent, or 516,6 hectares.

Soybeans also saw the largest increase in production. Conab estimates 180,3 million tons of the oilseed. This volume exceeds the previous harvest's result by 5,1 percent, reaching a difference of 8,8 million tons. The company attributes this performance to the growth in planted area, the technological package, and favorable weather conditions. Compared to the previous survey, the estimate increased by 0,1 percent, following improved yields as the harvest progressed.

Mato Grosso leads national soybean production with 51,6 million tons. Paraná follows with 21,7 million tons. Goiás accounts for 20,1 million tons. The Matopiba region, comprised of southern Maranhão, Tocantins, southern Piauí, and western Bahia, reaches 25,4 million tons. This volume represents an 11,4 percent increase.

Corn production is estimated at 140,5 million tons, considering all three harvests. This volume is 0,5 percent lower than the 2024/25 production, a reduction of 694,8 tons. The first harvest reached 29,3 million tons, with harvesting underway and 84,6 percent of the area harvested as of May 29th. The second harvest has entered its initial phase and is expected to produce 107,9 million tons. The third harvest is nearing the end of planting, with a forecast of 3,3 million tons.

The survey indicates an increase in the total estimate compared to the previous month. The positive variation reaches 0,2 percent. Conab attributes the adjustment to productivity gains observed after the completion of the first-crop bean, rice, and soybean harvests.

First-crop plantings are nearing the end of harvest. Part of the corn area remains to be harvested. Second-crop plantings are predominantly in the grain-filling, maturation, and beginning-of-harvest stages. Third-crop and winter crops are still being planted. Conab emphasizes that the final result depends on weather conditions during the remaining phases.

In seed cotton, production is expected to reach 9,6 million tons. The projection indicates a 2,5 percent decrease. This volume corresponds to approximately 4 million tons of lint. The crops are showing good development. The boll formation and maturation stages predominate. Harvesting has begun in areas of Bahia and Mato Grosso do Sul.

The rice harvest is nearing its end. Estimated production reaches 11,1 million tons, a 13,2 percent decrease compared to the previous cycle. Of this total, 10,4 million tons come from irrigated areas, while rainfed areas account for 703,2 tons.

The bean harvest is expected to reach 3 million tons. This estimate represents a 0,5 percent decrease compared to the previous harvest. The first harvest has been completed, reaching 976 tons. The second harvest is ongoing, with crops in the grain-filling and maturation stages. The third harvest has entered the final sowing phase. The total volume includes 1,7 million tons of colored common beans, 506,6 tons of black common beans, and 794,2 tons of cowpea, also called macaçar.

In wheat, planting is progressing in the producing regions. As of May 29, planting had reached 41,1 percent of the planned area. In Rio Grande do Sul, the largest producer, and in Santa Catarina, work remained in its initial phase. In São Paulo and Mato Grosso do Sul, planting had been completed. In the other states, the operation continued.