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The estimate for the Brazilian Coffee harvest, based on research carried out on data from January 2020, predicts that total production, including Arabica coffee and conilon coffee species, will reach an average physical volume of 60 million bags of 60kg and a productivity of around 31,6 bags per hectare. However, this number may still be adjusted throughout the year, depending on new surveys and studies that will be carried out in the field during the current coffee harvest.
In this context, it is worth highlighting that the Arabica coffee species, whose production area was estimated in the research at 1,514 million hectares, is expected to produce approximately 45 million 60kg bags and the average productivity will be 29,5 bags per hectare. Furthermore, these numbers, compared to the previous harvest, represent an increase of 4,5% in area and 24% in productivity.
In relation to Robusta species coffees, the production area was estimated at 371,14 thousand hectares, and the crop to be harvested in approximately 15 million bags, with an average productivity of 40,4 bags per hectare, numbers that, making the same comparison mentioned above, practically do not represent significant variation, both in relation to the area in production and productivity.
Thus, the production area of Brazilian Coffees, considering the Arabica and conilon coffee species, in this current coffee year 2020, will total 1,885 million hectares, with a harvest estimated at a physical volume equivalent to 60 million bags of 60kg and average productivity of the two coffee species (Arabica and Conilon) of 31,6 bags per hectare, as mentioned.
These numbers and data on the performance of Brazilian coffee farming, now the subject of this analysis, among others of interest to coffee agribusiness, are included in the CAFÉ EXECUTIVE SUMMARY – MARCH 2020, which is prepared monthly by the Agricultural Policy Secretariat – SPA, of the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Supply – MAPA and published by the Coffee Observatory, of the Café Research Consortium, coordinated by Embrapa Coffee.
Based on data from the COFFEE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY, in relation to the estimated total for the two species of coffee, it appears that the numbers for the 2020 harvest, in comparison with the 2019 harvest, the year in which production reached a volume equivalent to 49,309 million 60kg bags, cultivated in an area of 1,812 million hectares, represent an average percentage increase of 20% in production and 16% in productivity, respectively, despite the production area in 2020 having grown by only 4 %.
If a ranking of the area occupied in production in the 2020 harvest by the six largest coffee producers (arabica and conilon) is established, we will have the following configuration: Minas Gerais, the largest coffee producing state, coming in first place with 1,033 million hectares, which correspond to approximately 55% of the production area in Brazil and Espírito Santo, with 400,287 thousand hectares, equivalent to 21%, as the second largest producer.
Next comes São Paulo, with 206,406 thousand hectares (11%); Bahia, in fourth place, with 107,885 thousand hectares (6%); Rondônia, with 64,878 thousand hectares (3%); and, in sixth place, Paraná, with 36,120 thousand hectares (2%). The other coffee producing states complete the total production area in the country, which is present in the five geographic regions.
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