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The Brazilian agricultural production projection for the next ten years shows significant growth in the main crops, such as soybeans, winter corn, rice, beans, sorghum and wheat. Perennial crops such as coffee, cocoa and fruits also indicate sustainable growth in the period.
The data comes from the study Agribusiness Projections, Brazil 20203/2024 to 2033/2034, carried out by the Secretariat of Agricultural Policy of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock (Mapa), with support from the Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (Embrapa).
During this period, the planted area will increase by 15,5%, reaching 92,2 million hectares, showing productivity as an important growth factor in the next decade, as indicated by the study.
For the director of Economic Analysis and Public Policies at Mapa, Silvio Farnese, “it is important to consider that an important part of the growth in the planted area will be supported by the Degraded Areas Recovery Program, with credit lines favored for the productive regeneration of surfaces, currently with low productivity”, he emphasized.
The crops that will see the greatest growth in planted areas are soybeans (25,1%), winter corn (24,9%), wheat (18,4%), rice (+20,3%) and beans (+38,1%).
The participation of domestic consumption of corn, bran and soybean oil sustains growth in the production of animal protein, maintaining domestic consumption and guaranteeing exports of these proteins, totaling 24,7 million tons.
Rice production is expected to increase by 3,1 million tons, reaching 13,7 million tons, allowing consumption to be met, which is estimated at 10,8 million tons, with room for the export commitments of the productive sector, currently in the order of 1,3 million tons.
Corn production will reach 153,1 million tons, a 32,3% increase, and an increase of 37,4 million tons, mainly in the winter harvest, following the practice adopted by producers of planting in succession to soybeans. Consumption is estimated at 109,8 million tons, a 30,4% increase, in line with the growing use of the grain for the production of ethanol, which currently processes 17,0 million tons.
Soybeans will continue to have the highest production among grains, estimated to reach 199,4 million tons, an increase of 52,0 million tons, and soybean meal will reach 48,5 million tons, increasing 8,36 million tons over the next 10 years.
As for coffee, estimates show a 31,9% increase in production, reaching 72,0 million bags, that is, a greater supply of 17,0 million bags that will cover the increase in consumption, growing to 27,0 million bags, and exports, which are estimated at 45,0 million bags.
In the estimate of animal protein production, the greatest growth will be in poultry (+28,4%), followed by pork (+27,5%) and beef (+10,2%). Consumption will have a smaller growth with poultry growing 26,9%, pork 25,4% and beef 0,6%.
Exports of these proteins are estimated to grow by 29,7% for poultry, 22,5% for pork and 27,1% for beef. This scenario is being strengthened by the various agreements made by the Brazilian government with consumer countries, representing the strengthening of already established markets and new countries that will import Brazilian meat, guaranteeing a prominent position in the international market.
The publication is carried out annually, with the purpose of prospecting the future performance of agriculture, serving as a guide for public policies for the sector and as an indicator for the private sector on the behavior of the planted area, production, consumption and export of the main products on the agricultural agenda.
Data are projected for 28 products: cotton lint, rice, beans, corn, soybean grains, bran and oil, sorghum, sugar cane, sugar, wheat, coffee, cocoa, orange, tobacco, potato, cassava, banana, apple, papaya, melon, grape, beef, poultry and pork, milk, eggs and cellulose.
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